LAB 01 / MODEL REGRESSION DETECTOR / ACTIVE
CHANGE.
MEASURE.
CATCH.
A prompt change.
A measurable regression.
Same eight cases. Same pinned models. Same T4 runtime. The baseline classifies seven correctly; the intentionally weakened candidate classifies two.
Inspect recorded results ↓Real inference · synthetic fixture · captured September 28, 2026
87.5%baseline accuracy
25%candidate accuracy
62.5 ppaccuracy drop
FAILregression gate
PROBE V2 / OBSERVED RESULTS
Six cases regressed.
Critical failure starts above an eight-percentage-point accuracy drop. This run exceeds that threshold. Invalid responses count as quality failures; missing execution evidence stays visible.
Eight AI-authored cases, two per category. Separate Qwen summary judge; scores are advisory.| Measurement | Baseline | Candidate |
|---|
| Correct classifications | 7 / 8 | 2 / 8 |
|---|
| Accuracy | 87.5% | 25% |
|---|
| Invalid responses | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Execution errors / missing | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
|---|
| Valid summary judgments | 8 / 8 | 8 / 8 |
|---|
| Advisory summary score | 4.75 / 5 | 4.875 / 5 |
|---|
Regressions: fixture-01, fixture-02, fixture-03, fixture-05, fixture-06, fixture-07.
RUN RECORD / KEEP THE FIRST ATTEMPT
The first result mattered.
01 / PRESERVED PROBE V1A misleading baseline.
The original baseline returned prose or fenced JSON for all eight cases. Strict validation rejected every response. Accuracy was 0%; the candidate scored 25%, so the relative gate returned PASS.
A passing comparison does not establish a useful baseline. Those original outputs remain preserved.
02 / FRESH PROBE V2Make the contract explicit.
A new versioned baseline prompt specified an exact JSON shape. Both arms were captured in a fresh session with unchanged model revisions. All responses were valid; accuracy dropped from 87.5% to 25%.
The evidence was finalized before exporting the report. Saved Kaggle version 2 retains both sessions.
REPRODUCIBILITY / SCOPE
Inspect the boundaries.
This is real model inference on a small synthetic fixture, not a human-reviewed gold evaluation or a general model-quality benchmark. Summary judgments have not been calibrated against human ratings.
- Classifier
- Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct ·
989aa7980e4cf806f80c7fef2b1adb7bc71aa306 - Summary judge
- Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct ·
aa8e72537993ba99e69dfaafa59ed015b17504d1 - Runtime
- Kaggle Tesla T4 · Python 3.12.13 · Torch 2.10.0+cu128 · Transformers 4.57.6
- Prompts
support-json-v2 → support-demo-weakened
This page records observed metrics. Raw bundles are saved in the private Kaggle notebook; a local download has not been verified. Human gold review, full-dataset capture, Databricks acceptance, and Space publication remain pending.